All news stories

Breakfast briefing: Oil prices are rising
US factory new orders fall; Canada launches sovereign wealth fund; Moody's upgrades China's outlook; China data improves; German mood sours; UST 10yr at 4.34%; gold eases but oil higher; AU$1 = 70.9 USc

Should you be worried about Mythos?
Toby Walsh explains why the world’s banks are so worried about Anthropic’s latest AI model

The AI risk we need to focus on
Lenny Mendonca & Martin Neil Baily see looming worker displacement from the march if AI as a greater challenge that systemic financial concerns

Breakfast briefing: World near oil cliff-edge
Eyes on Asian oil refinery outlooks; Trump backs down over Powell claims; US mood at record low; China FDI low; Russian oil becomes attractive; UST 10yr at 4.31%; gold eases but oil firms; AU$1 = 71.5 USc

Policymakers vs. the Iran war shock
Gene Frieda identifies the market signals that would imply a move from fear of inflation to fear of recession

Weekend briefing: US pulls back on some extreme positions
Trump drops case against Powell; Hormuz still shut, but ...; US sentiment dire; Canadian retail rises; China FDI stays very weak; Russia cuts policy rate; UST 10yr at 4.31%; gold up but oil eases; AU$1 = 71.5 USc

Breakfast briefing: The ruptures deepen
US data improves, but tech layoffs rise fast; Canada PPI zooms; India expands faster; Taiwan still starring; Australia PMI's improve; bulk freight rates zoom; UST 10yr at 4.33%; gold down but oil rises further; AU$1 = 71.3 USc

Breakfast briefing: Yes, the Hormuz mess is worse today
Persian Gulf standoff turns childish; US petrol stocks drop; eyes on Tesla results; EU consumer sentiment dives; BHP back selling to China but in yuan; UST 10yr at 4.31%; gold and oil prices rise; AU$1 = 70.6 USc

The global AI threat as arrived
Alex Wang and Angela Huyue Zhang warn that Anthropic's Mythos model will make every country more vulnerable to economic disruption
