Economy
Breakfast briefing: More 'peace' claims for Hormuz, but growth sags, El Niño arrives
Trump claims deal with Iran near (again); US producer prices jump; ECB raises rates; Indonesia stumbles; El Niño coming, officially; global growth sags; UST 10yr at 4.45%; gold recovers some as oil retreats; AU$1 = 70.3 USc

Breakfast briefing: Financial markets pricing in quagmire risk
US trapped in Iran quagmire; US inflation rises, oil stocks retreat; Canada holds; Japan PPI jumps; China CPI low but PPI high; Australian fuel tax cut nears end; UST 10yr at 4.54%; gold drops hard as oil rises; AU$1 = 70.1 USc;

Breakfast briefing: Global export gains impress
US data mixed but exports up slightly; Canadian exports jump; China's exports surge, Taiwan even more so; Japanese & Indonesian central banks wary; UST 10yr at 4.53%; gold drops as does oil; AU$1 = 70.3 USc

Breakfast briefing: Iran extracts Persian Gulf tolls
US inflation expectations ease but SMEs turn glum; Japan improves; China excavator sales roar but car sales reverse; Iran tolling Hormuz transits; UST 10yr at 4.55%; gold and oil little-changed; AU$1 = 70.5 USc

Breakfast briefing: Market fears of rising inflation push up interest rates
China's reserves at 11 year high; India growth stays strong; US payrolls rise but not in productive sectors; Canadian jobs rise; EU growth hurt by Ireland twist; UST 10yr at 4.54%; gold and oil holds; AU$1 = 70.4 USc

Weekend briefing: Some eye-catching shifts to end the week
US jobs rise more than expected; Wall Street reverses; Canada job gains impress; EU gets an Ireland shock; India expands fast; UST 10yr at 4.54%; gold dives and oil dips; NZ$1 = 70.5 USc;; bitcoin lower again

Breakfast briefing: World getting tired of amateur hour
No Middle East resolution despite market hopes; US data mixed; EU retail soft; freight rates surge; amateur AI legal claims clog courts; UST 10yr at 4.47%; gold up and oil falls; AU$1 = 71.4 USc

Breakfast briefing: Oil up on Persian Gulf fighting
US data mixed & inconsistent; Canada house prices fall; Japan to assess rate hike; China service sector rises; Australian GDP growth fades; UST 10yr at 4.49%; gold falls and oil rises; AU$1 = 71.3 USc

Breakfast briefing: Gold resurgent at US Treasuries expense
US labour data upbeat but sentiment downbeat; China harvests; EU inflation in spotlight; Australia gets first trade deficit in nine years; mineral prices rise; UST 10yr at 4.46%; gold dips and oil rises; AU$1 = 71.8 USc

Fair Work Commission OKs a 4.75% hike to the National Minimum Wage
The minimum wage to rise to over $1000 per week on July 1, after the Fair Work Commission agrees the biggest rise since 20203

Breakfast briefing: Hot mess & strategic failure
Hormuz unresolved; global factories expand on stockpiling; Korean exports impress; Australian inflation dips; Wall Street in tech IPO frenzy; UST 10yr at 4.47%; gold falls and oil rises; AU$1 = 71.7 USc

Breakfast briefing: US policy disaster in Gulf slips into quagmire
China PMIs steady with little expansion; house prices ease in Sydney & Melbourne; Aussie super stress grows; strong El Niño developing; UST 10yr at 4.45%; gold and oil softish; NZ$1 = 71.8 USc

Weekend briefing: US vacillates over deal with Iran
US trade deficit stays high; Chicago PMI gets stockpiling boost; Canada close to recession; Japan sentiment and retail rise; Taiwan posts outsized GDP growth; UST 10yr at 4.43%; gold firms again; oil lower; AU$1 = 71.9 USc

Breakfast briefing: Talks & fights, truce awaits approvals
Iran & the US agree a tentative deal; US data mixed while inflation rises; Australian household spending falls, capex rises; air travel falls, air freight resilient; UST 10yr at 4.45%; gold firms; oil lower; AU$1 = 71.7 USc

Breakfast briefing: Mixed messages on Hormuz progress
Commodity markets believe Iran TV; US mortgage applications drop on higher US rates; other US data mixed; Australian CPI restrained; UST 10yr at 4.48%; gold falls; oil lower; AU$1 = 71.3 USc

Breakfast briefing: The US launches new strikes on Iran as talks stall
No deal in US-Iran talks yet; US data mixed; investors extract big yield jump in UST 2yr bonds; Singapore and Taiwan rise; aluminium price nears record high; UST 10yr at 4.49%; gold eases; oil rises; AU$1 = 71.6 USc

Breakfast briefing: Markets bet on a resolution
Claims & counterclaims in US-Iran talks but no deal; markets act as though one will emerge; Singapore data strong; China FDI stabilises; yuan financing rises; UST 10yr at 4.47%; gold rises; oil drops; AU$1 = 71.8 USc

Breakfast briefing: Vanity trumps progress in Hormuz standoff
Iran-US deal proving hard to close; US consumers sentiment hits record low; Canada battles high PPI; Japan & Korea avoid Iran fallout; UST 10yr at 4.57%; gold and oil on hold; AU$1 = 71.3 USc

Weekend briefing: Inflation drives sentiment backlash
US sentiment worse than originally reported; Fed's Waller sees rate hikes; Canadian PPI leaps; Japanese CPI tame; Korean sentiment up; UST 10yr at 4.55%; gold dips but oil holds; AU$1 = 71.4 USc

Breakfast briefing: US-Iran tensions at stalemate
US data mixed, distorted by cost jumps; Korea input prices surge; Japanese exports strong; Australian labour markets weaken; freight rates rise; UST 10yr at 4.58%; gold up but oil holds high; AU$1 = 71.7 USc

The jobless rate rises, unexpectedly
The 2026 job market is tougher on women than men. There were fewer jobs for women in April, slightly more for men

Breakfast briefing: Warsh in the hot seat
Crude oil prices determining benchmark interest rates and policy choices; Taiwan export orders star again; Indonesia hikes unexpectedly; UST 10yr at 4.57%; eyes on Nvidia; gold up but oil eases; AU$1 = 71.5 USc

Breakfast briefing: Turbulence moves into bond markets
Bond markets turn angry; US payrolls expand; Canadian inflation up less than expected; Japan GDP rises; Aussie sentiment shows sharp age differences; UST 10yr at 4.67%; gold down but oil holds; AU$1 = 71.1 USc

Breakfast briefing: Oil & bond markets jittery on stalled US-Iran 'talks'
No change in the Middle East; US data little-changed but still negative; China data weaker; Singapore exports strong; Trumps crypto partners help Iran; UST 10yr at 4.49%; gold holds but oil rises; AU$1 = 71.6 USc
